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James L. Swofford
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August 22, 2024
Inflation, interest rates, and profitsInflation, high prices, price gouging, record profits, corporate greed, this is just some of the jargon we are hearing this election season. One side focuses more on the first two terms and the other focuses more on the last three. Imagine y...
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March 14, 2024
What the polls say about third partiesWith Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden becoming presumptive nominees of their respective parties this week, there has been increasing talk about what the polls say about the state of the race. Also, there has been increasing notice tha...
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February 7, 2024
Which Generation Has Had It the Toughest?Recently, I ran across a good bit of complaining about which generation has had it the toughest. I have seen TikTok videos from self-proclaimed Gen Zers claiming how much worse they have it than Gen Xers and Millennials. Matt Wa...
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September 28, 2023
Face it -- Hunter Biden is already pardonedHunter Biden was recently indicted on a gun charge, as everyone knows. This has led to a spate of articles claiming that Joe Biden is worried that he will die before his son’s legal problems are resolved. Well, don’t let the unqu...
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August 9, 2023
Equal justice in a partisan eraThe Supreme Court as recently as June 2023 ordered changes to a state’s congressional district map. Similarly, in Reynolds v. Sims (1964) the court ordered that state legislative districts must also be of roughly equal population. Voti...
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July 28, 2023
New York needs to do its fair share on immigrationMayor Eric Adams of New York City recently whined, "Our [NYC's] cup has basically runneth over" and the city has "no more room for migrants." He further claimed, "New York City is carrying the weight of a natio...
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June 22, 2023
Trump's 'white guys' problemIf you believe the exit polls, and they are the only information we have to go on, Donald Trump in 2020 increased his percentage of the vote among white women, black men, black women, Hispanic men, Hispanic women, and others, including Asian men and ...
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June 16, 2023
How to answer the 'Will you pardon Trump?' questionRadio personality and Outkick.com founder Clay Travis has proposed that all GOP presidential candidates say that if elected, they will pardon President Donald Trump. Some GOP candidates like Vivek Ramaswamy signed on completely. ...
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May 25, 2023
We Are All CapitalistsI’m a capitalist. You are a capitalist. Karl Marx was a capitalist. Josef Stalin was one of the biggest capitalists ever. Bernie Sanders is a capitalist. AOC is a capitalist. All the members of Occupy Wall Stre...
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May 16, 2023
NeverTrumps, I hope you're happyYeah, I'm talking to you, George Will. I'm talking to you, John Bolton. I'm talking to you, Peggy Noonan. I'm talking to you, Mitt Romney. I'm talking to all the various NeverTrumps who ...
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April 28, 2023
Are people still using polls to determine Trump’s electability?There has been a little boomlet recently of talk about how Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is more electable than former President Donald Trump. I have heard this discussion on podcasts, I have read tweets and articles on electability, and I have...
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April 21, 2023
Are you happy now, Libertarians?Prior to the last presidential election, the U.S. had a president who was against foreign entanglements, Libertarian Party Platform plank 3.3. This president had also had, for example, supported and signed a criminal justice reform act (pl...
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April 15, 2023
The American public rallies to underdogsStarting with the NYC indictment, leftist prosecutors around the country are seemingly going to gang up on former President Donald J. Trump. While they agree that this may well help Pres. Trump gain the GOP nomination in 2024, conservative talk...
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October 31, 2022
What will the midterm results say?With the midterm elections coming up, some commentators are already speculating if there will there be a GOP wave or maybe even a GOP tsunami. In the mainstream media (MSM), they would like nothing better than to be able to say it was just...
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July 27, 2022
What beachfront property says about global warmingGlobal warming is a crisis no one believes in. At least, most people don't believe in it. The market shows us that. More technically, people voting in the mortgage market with their money on balance do not believe...
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July 20, 2022
Modern Monetary Theory is a win for the left, even if it doesn't workModern Money Theory (MMT) is the idea that sovereign governments like the U.S. with a fiat currency can always print money to repay debt denominated in their currency, so a government should borrow whatever amount of money is needed for its desired l...
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June 2, 2022
What about packing the House of Representatives?In the first U.S. Congress, the members who represented the largest number of people were the Senators from the most populous state, Virginia, who represented about 750,000 people. For the current Congress, the median district of the House...
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April 19, 2022
The greatest opportunity for organized crime in the US since ProhibitionThe defund the police movement presents organized crime with perhaps their greatest opportunity for expansion since alcohol prohibition in the 1920s and early 1930s. The increased crime in general and large-scale, and often organized, reta...
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December 8, 2021
John Roberts and the Dobbs decisionIf Justice John Roberts did not like the action by the frustrated citizens at the Capitol on January 6, 2021, the abortion case Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization gives him a chance to head off a future such incident and to strike a r...
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October 29, 2020
Trump's paths (plural!) to 270 electoral votes and victoryI recently argued that the toss-up states may be different from what media and pollsters present and what you think. Based my view from the 2016 results, I have the race at 231 electoral votes for President Trump, 183 electoral votes for Mr. Biden...
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October 19, 2020
The Electoral College did more in 2016 than you might thinkAs the attacks on the Electoral College continue, we can see how important the Electoral College is from the 2016 presidential election results. Many observers have noted that Clinton's margin in California was greater than her plurali...
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October 14, 2020
2020's battleground states are not the ones you thinkIt is well known that in November 2016, a little over 136.5 million Americans voted in the presidential election. What is less well known is that according to the election results at Wikipedia, a slight plurality more Americans voted for c...
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May 5, 2020
The government can give you money, but it can't make you toilet paperCongress can pass legislation and give you $1,200, but Congress can't give you a pork chop. Congress does not have any special ability to make it possible for you to turn money it gives you into a pork chop. Producing a pork...
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April 9, 2020
The Flu, the Coronavirus, and Hospital BedsDid you hear about the 2017-2018 U.S. flu season? How about the 2017-18 flu season overwhelming the hospitals and creating bed and ICU bed shortages? Neither did I, but it was the worst flu season in recent years. During the 2017-2018 flu seaso...
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April 3, 2020
Will we have a recession like in 1920–21?The steep recession of 1920–1921, which some observers call a depression, was probably brought on by a number of factors. WWI had just ended in November 1918, and in those days, federal government spending was reduced at the end of w...
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April 1, 2020
How Can We Obtain Herd Immunity?Herd immunity is when enough members of a population (a herd, so to speak), are immune from a disease, so that a person with the disease infects fewer than one other person. Once there is herd immunity, outbreaks of the disease taper off r...
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March 1, 2020
Coronavirus is probably both worse and better than people thinkOver the last nine flu seasons, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) estimated that 337,000 people died in the U.S. due to the flu. They further estimated that there were almost 258 million cases of the flu in the U.S. during the same tim...
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February 1, 2020
How the American public sees the impeachment articlesWhen the House passed their two impeachments articles, I reacted on Twitter by pointing out the two articles were essentially: Orange man bad (Abuse of power) Orange man mean to us (Obstruction of Congress) That is a distillation of the ...
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December 20, 2019
Why Russia, kids in cages, etc. in the Impeachment debate?The House impeached President Trump this week because, Louisiana and a few other states aside, a Democrat generally cannot win the general election without first winning the Democrat primary: Future Democrat primaries are also the reason the Democ...
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October 16, 2019
Why impeachment, and why now?The current impeachment is about one thing and one thing only. It is about Democrat incumbents in Congress winning future Democrat primaries. I have thought since the 2018 election that this Congress would impeach President Trump. ...
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October 9, 2018
Radical leftist Justice Kagan fears lack of 'centrists' on the Supreme CourtYesterday, Justice Kagan was quoted in the Washington Post saying, "[W]ithout centrist justices such as Sandra Day O'Connor and Anthony M. Kennedy, the court and the country are now starkly divided into two camps." Justice Ka...
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July 19, 2018
Democratic tactics and Republican votersThe Democrats are outraged again this week, and the usual Republicans are joining in this pretend outrage. As I have discussed here before, the Democrats are quite disciplined in their messaging. When Democrats are outraged...
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May 7, 2018
Meeting with Robert MuellerMany, many of his supporters assert that under no circumstances should President Trump meet with Robert Mueller. I have the contrarian view that President Trump needs to meet with Robert Mueller as soon as possible. After a...
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March 15, 2018
Ah, it's tariff season in the US again!U.S. presidential elections are decided in a swath of states from Pennsylvania to Wisconsin, or at least close presidential elections have been decided in these states. President Trump won in 2016 by appealing to blue-collar voters in thes...
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March 7, 2017
Are the Republicans in Congress forgetting the lessons of 1974 and 1998?In the midterm elections of 1974 following party leaders telling Richard Nixon he had to resign due to the Watergate scandal – and for the "good of the party" – the GOP lost 48 seats in the U.S. House of Represent...
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February 3, 2017
The Jeff Sessions I metOn the eve of Sen. Jeff Sessions's nomination to be attorney general of the U.S., Hugh McInnish wrote an interesting and positive column for this site about the Jeff Sessions he knows. I cannot say I know Jeff Sessions to that ext...
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August 30, 2016
It’s not the economy, stupid!In 1992, the Bill Clinton presidential campaign reputedly had a sign in its Little Rock headquarters reminding campaign workers to stay on message. That sign said: “It’s the economy, stupid!” Many have taken that to mean th...
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June 25, 2016
Why do Democrats hate the 'Dreamers' so much?The U.S. Supreme Court this week let stand an appeals court decision that President Obama’s executive amnesty is illegal under the U.S. Constitution. This means per the Constitution that immigration law is still set by the Congress passin...
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June 9, 2016
Why Even ‘Never Trumpers’ Should Hope He Is ElectedIf you are a “Never Trumper” or even a “#NeverTrump,” I believe that you should nevertheless hope that, if nominated, he wins the general election against either potential Democrat party candidate. Sure, Trump is inconsis...