James L. Swofford

James L. Swofford


  • Inflation, interest rates, and profits

    August 22, 2024

    Inflation, interest rates, and profits

    Inflation, high prices, price gouging, record profits, corporate greed, this is just some of the jargon we are hearing this election season.  One side focuses more on the first two terms and the other focuses more on the last three. Imagine y...

  • What the polls say about third parties

    March 14, 2024

    What the polls say about third parties

    With Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden becoming presumptive nominees of their respective parties this week, there has been increasing talk about what the polls say about the state of the race.  Also, there has been increasing notice tha...

  • Which Generation Has Had It the Toughest?

    February 7, 2024

    Which Generation Has Had It the Toughest?

    Recently, I ran across a good bit of complaining about which generation has had it the toughest.  I have seen TikTok videos from self-proclaimed Gen Zers claiming how much worse they have it than Gen Xers and Millennials.  Matt Wa...

  • September 28, 2023

    Face it -- Hunter Biden is already pardoned

    Hunter Biden was recently indicted on a gun charge, as everyone knows. This has led to a spate of articles claiming that Joe Biden is worried that he will die before his son’s legal problems are resolved.  Well, don’t let the unqu...

  • August 9, 2023

    Equal justice in a partisan era

    The Supreme Court as recently as June 2023 ordered changes to a state’s congressional district map.  Similarly, in Reynolds v. Sims (1964) the court ordered that state legislative districts must also be of roughly equal population. Voti...

  • July 28, 2023

    New York needs to do its fair share on immigration

    Mayor Eric Adams of New York City recently whined, "Our [NYC's] cup has basically runneth over" and the city has "no more room for migrants."  He further claimed, "New York City is carrying the weight of a natio...

  • June 22, 2023

    Trump's 'white guys' problem

    If you believe the exit polls, and they are the only information we have to go on, Donald Trump in 2020 increased his percentage of the vote among white women, black men, black women, Hispanic men, Hispanic women, and others, including Asian men and ...

  • June 16, 2023

    How to answer the 'Will you pardon Trump?' question

    Radio personality and Outkick.com founder Clay Travis has proposed that all GOP presidential candidates say that if elected, they will pardon President Donald Trump.  Some GOP candidates like Vivek Ramaswamy signed on completely. ...

  • May 25, 2023

    We Are All Capitalists

    I’m a capitalist.  You are a capitalist. Karl Marx was a capitalist. Josef Stalin was one of the biggest capitalists ever.  Bernie Sanders is a capitalist.  AOC is a capitalist.  All the members of Occupy Wall Stre...

  • May 16, 2023

    NeverTrumps, I hope you're happy

    Yeah, I'm talking to you, George Will.  I'm talking to you, John Bolton.  I'm talking to you, Peggy Noonan.  I'm talking to you, Mitt Romney.  I'm talking to all the various NeverTrumps who ...

  • April 28, 2023

    Are people still using polls to determine Trump’s electability?

    There has been a little boomlet recently of talk about how Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is more electable than former President Donald Trump.  I have heard this discussion on podcasts, I have read tweets and articles on electability, and I have...

  • April 21, 2023

    Are you happy now, Libertarians?

    Prior to the last presidential election, the U.S. had a president who was against foreign entanglements, Libertarian Party Platform plank 3.3.  This president had also had, for example, supported and signed a criminal justice reform act (pl...

  • April 15, 2023

    The American public rallies to underdogs

    Starting with the NYC indictment, leftist prosecutors around the country are seemingly going to gang up on former President Donald J. Trump.  While they agree that this may well help Pres. Trump gain the GOP nomination in 2024, conservative talk...

  • October 31, 2022

    What will the midterm results say?

    With the midterm elections coming up, some commentators are already speculating if there will there be a GOP wave or maybe even a GOP tsunami.  In the mainstream media (MSM), they would like nothing better than to be able to say it was just...

  • July 27, 2022

    What beachfront property says about global warming

    Global warming is a crisis no one believes in.  At least, most people don't believe in it.  The market shows us that.  More technically, people voting in the mortgage market with their money on balance do not believe...

  • July 20, 2022

    Modern Monetary Theory is a win for the left, even if it doesn't work

    Modern Money Theory (MMT) is the idea that sovereign governments like the U.S. with a fiat currency can always print money to repay debt denominated in their currency, so a government should borrow whatever amount of money is needed for its desired l...

  • June 2, 2022

    What about packing the House of Representatives?

    In the first U.S. Congress, the members who represented the largest number of people were the Senators from the most populous state, Virginia, who represented about 750,000 people.  For the current Congress, the median district of the House...

  • April 19, 2022

    The greatest opportunity for organized crime in the US since Prohibition

    The defund the police movement presents organized crime with perhaps their greatest opportunity for expansion since alcohol prohibition in the 1920s and early 1930s.  The increased crime in general and large-scale, and often organized, reta...

  • December 8, 2021

    John Roberts and the Dobbs decision

    If Justice John Roberts did not like the action by the frustrated citizens at the Capitol on January 6, 2021, the abortion case Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization gives him a chance to head off a future such incident and to strike a r...

  • October 29, 2020

    Trump's paths (plural!) to 270 electoral votes and victory

    I recently argued that the toss-up states may be different from what media and pollsters present and what you think. Based my view from the 2016 results, I have the race at 231 electoral votes for President Trump, 183 electoral votes for Mr. Biden...

  • October 19, 2020

    The Electoral College did more in 2016 than you might think

    As the attacks on the Electoral College continue, we can see how important the Electoral College is from the 2016 presidential election results.  Many observers have noted that Clinton's margin in California was greater than her plurali...

  • October 14, 2020

    2020's battleground states are not the ones you think

    It is well known that in November 2016, a little over 136.5 million Americans voted in the presidential election.  What is less well known is that according to the election results at Wikipedia, a slight plurality more Americans voted for c...

  • May 5, 2020

    The government can give you money, but it can't make you toilet paper

    Congress can pass legislation and give you $1,200, but Congress can't give you a pork chop.  Congress does not have any special ability to make it possible for you to turn money it gives you into a pork chop.  Producing a pork...

  • April 9, 2020

    The Flu, the Coronavirus, and Hospital Beds

    Did you hear about the 2017-2018 U.S. flu season? How about the 2017-18 flu season overwhelming the hospitals and creating bed and ICU bed shortages? Neither did I, but it was the worst flu season in recent years. During the 2017-2018 flu seaso...

  • April 3, 2020

    Will we have a recession like in 1920–21?

    The steep recession of 1920–1921, which some observers call a depression, was probably brought on by a number of factors.  WWI had just ended in November 1918, and in those days, federal government spending was reduced at the end of w...

  • April 1, 2020

    How Can We Obtain Herd Immunity?

    Herd immunity is when enough members of a population (a herd, so to speak), are immune from a disease, so that a person with the disease infects fewer than one other person.  Once there is herd immunity, outbreaks of the disease taper off r...

  • March 1, 2020

    Coronavirus is probably both worse and better than people think

    Over the last nine flu seasons, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) estimated that 337,000 people died in the U.S. due to the flu.  They further estimated that there were almost 258 million cases of the flu in the U.S. during the same tim...

  • February 1, 2020

    How the American public sees the impeachment articles

    When the House passed their two impeachments articles, I reacted on Twitter by pointing out the two articles were essentially: Orange man bad (Abuse of power) Orange man mean to us (Obstruction of Congress) That is a distillation of the ...

  • December 20, 2019

    Why Russia, kids in cages, etc. in the Impeachment debate?

    The House impeached President Trump this week because, Louisiana and a few other states aside, a Democrat generally cannot win the general election without first winning the Democrat primary: Future Democrat primaries are also the reason the Democ...

  • October 16, 2019

    Why impeachment, and why now?

    The current impeachment is about one thing and one thing only.  It is about Democrat incumbents in Congress winning future Democrat primaries. I have thought since the 2018 election that this Congress would impeach President Trump. ...

  • October 9, 2018

    Radical leftist Justice Kagan fears lack of 'centrists' on the Supreme Court

    Yesterday, Justice Kagan was quoted in the Washington Post saying, "[W]ithout centrist justices such as Sandra Day O'Connor and Anthony M. Kennedy, the court and the country are now starkly divided into two camps."  Justice Ka...

  • July 19, 2018

    Democratic tactics and Republican voters

    The Democrats are outraged again this week, and the usual Republicans are joining in this pretend outrage.  As I have discussed here before, the Democrats are quite disciplined in their messaging.  When Democrats are outraged...

  • May 7, 2018

    Meeting with Robert Mueller

    Many, many of his supporters assert that under no circumstances should President Trump meet with Robert Mueller.  I have the contrarian view that President Trump needs to meet with Robert Mueller as soon as possible.  After a...

  • March 15, 2018

    Ah, it's tariff season in the US again!

    U.S. presidential elections are decided in a swath of states from Pennsylvania to Wisconsin, or at least close presidential elections have been decided in these states.  President Trump won in 2016 by appealing to blue-collar voters in thes...

  • March 7, 2017

    Are the Republicans in Congress forgetting the lessons of 1974 and 1998?

    In the midterm elections of 1974 following party leaders telling Richard Nixon he had to resign due to the Watergate scandal – and for the "good of the party" – the GOP lost 48 seats in the U.S. House of Represent...

  • February 3, 2017

    The Jeff Sessions I met

    On the eve of Sen. Jeff Sessions's nomination to be attorney general of the U.S., Hugh McInnish wrote an interesting and positive column for this site about the Jeff Sessions he knows.  I cannot say I know Jeff Sessions to that ext...

  • August 30, 2016

    It’s not the economy, stupid!

    In 1992, the Bill Clinton presidential campaign reputedly had a sign in its Little Rock headquarters reminding campaign workers to stay on message.  That sign said: “It’s the economy, stupid!” Many have taken that to mean th...

  • June 25, 2016

    Why do Democrats hate the 'Dreamers' so much?

    The U.S. Supreme Court this week let stand an appeals court decision that President Obama’s executive amnesty is illegal under the U.S. Constitution.  This means per the Constitution that immigration law is still set by the Congress passin...

  • June 9, 2016

    Why Even ‘Never Trumpers’ Should Hope He Is Elected

    If you are a “Never Trumper” or even a “#NeverTrump,” I believe that you should nevertheless hope that, if nominated, he wins the general election against either potential Democrat party candidate. Sure, Trump is inconsis...