October 13, 2020

Trump's bad polls? Before you panic, dig into the details

After many declarations that President Trump was vanquished on the basis of an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showing him 14 points behind, it turns out that the poll was totally bogus. Four years ago, in October 2016, an AP-GfK poll also showed tha...

June 19, 2020

The Polls Put Democrats in a Trap of Their Own Making

Remember the heady days of June 2016, when Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump in every one of twelve major polls — by a margin of 10 points, according to ABC and the Washington Post? Or August 2016, after the Khan imbroglio, when Clinton was b...