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July 9, 2024
In the universe where Biden resigns...In a normal year, a normal environment, a normal presidency... Joe Biden would accept the judgment of Father Time, if not Uncle Sam as per polling. He would gracefully withdraw, retire early, wave good-bye (possibly even in the correct ...
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September 28, 2023
A Way to Make Election Polling WorthwhileStatistics don't lie...but statisticians often do. And sometimes they neglect or ignore, which is almost as harmful. Modern polling, as a "discipline" — no matter how undisciplined it might actually be, with few form...
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July 16, 2023
The Life and Death of Milan KunderaOne of the 20th century's great writers died on July 11. In these addled and busy times, he seemed to have become a voice of the past. During his active years, he very much was a voice of the "present," a literary prism th...
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November 19, 2021
Joe Biden's Political ObituaryBarely a year into his term, Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr. is suffering a precipitous drop in all polling categories. The recent mid-midterm elections signaled a strong rejection of his policies and his allies. Rather than a histo...
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October 29, 2020
Trump's Greatest CrimeAn odd aspect of this year's odd political climate is the fact that many predictable campaign smears are not being denied, but often accepted with almost gleeful guilty pleas. Democrats virtually admit that they regard the Trump presid...
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July 29, 2020
Looking to when there will be nobody to speak for meFirst they came for Republicans, and I did not speak out — because politics are my own business. Then they came for conservatives, and I did not speak out — because I am a moderate. Then they came for "right-wingers," and ...