Polling shows that the special election to replace Anthony Weiner in New York's 9th congressional district could very well yield a GOP victory in the 60% Democratic registration Queens/Brooklyn district.  Steven Shepard and Jessica Taylorof Hotline On Call report:

Republican Bob Turner holds a six-point lead in next week's special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Anthony Weiner, D-N.Y., according to a new Siena College poll released early Friday that shows voters in the overwhelmingly Democratic district are poised to deliver a stinging rebuke to President Obama and his party.

Turner leads Democratic Assemblyman David Weprin in the poll, 50 percent to 44 percent. Six percent of likely voters in the Sept. 13th election are undecided.

Discontent with Washington and the president is at the heart of Turner's shocking upset bid. In a district he won by 11 points just three years ago, Obama's favorability rating is now upside down in the Siena poll, with 54 percent having an unfavorable opinion of Obama and only 43 percent viewing him favorably

Weprin, lost the endorsement of fellow Democratic Assemblyman Dov Hikind, who also represents part of the district, over his lack of sufficient support for Israel.

The Left is starting to panic.

The election, even if it is close, sends a message about the deep unpopularity of Obama's policies and performance, even in a Democrat stronghold. Look for devastating criticism of Weprin, who will be the fall guy, even if he wins a close race. He was a terrible candidate -- which doesn't explain why he won an Assembly seat. For all the public denial, this has got to scare the hell out of Democrats. Look for signs of panic, including more over the top rhetoric, and probablyt more political violence.