Jeb Bush surges into the lead in CNN poll

Say it ain't so, Jeb.

A new CNN poll on the GOP presidential race shows former Florida governor Jeb Bush surging into the lead for the 2016 nomination.  Bush garnered 23% against the second-place finisher, New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who received 13%.

Physician Ben Carson comes in third, with 7% support, and Sen. Rand Paul and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee are both tied for fourth with 6%.

That marks a drop in support for all but Christie and Bush from the last CNN/ORC survey of the field, conducted in November. That poll showed Bush in the lead, but only taking 14% of the vote, while Carson came in second with 11% and Christie tied Rep. Paul Ryan for fourth with 9% support.

Bush's 10-point lead is a milestone for the potential GOP field — it marks the first time any prospective candidate has reached a lead beyond a poll's margin of error in the past two years.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is still far and away the favorite to take the Democratic nomination for president if she runs, with the support of two-thirds of Democrats polled. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a liberal favorite, comes in a distant second place with just 9%.

Bush would still face some skepticism from GOP primary voters if he ran, but the CNN/ORC poll shows they are largely willing to forgive him for some of his more controversial comments and positions.

GOP primary voters are about evenly split on whether his support for allowing some illegal immigrants to stay in the United States makes them more or less likely to support him, or has no difference on their opinion of him.

Forty-two percent say his description of illegal immigration as an "act of love" make them less likely to support Bush, but another 39% say it makes no difference to them.

Bush has more problems than his stance on immigration.  He has embraced Common Core standards, which cuts into his support from social conservatives.  He has been out of government for 8 years, and some of his business ventures remind some analysts of Mitt Romney.

Regardless, how can Americans support dynastic politics?  We are not a monarchy, and besides, I think America has had quite enough of both the Bush and Clinton brands of politics.  It makes us look like a banana republic when we elect the sons or spouse of a former president.

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